Follow the Money: Who's Fueling the Race to Replace Marjorie Taylor Greene in Georgia's 14th
The Georgia 14th Congressional District special election has drawn a 21-candidate field, a Trump endorsement, and a surprisingly lopsided money race. Here's who's writing the checks — and why.
What's Happening
Rep. Marjorie Taylor Greene resigned from Congress effective January 5, 2026, after a public falling-out with President Donald Trump. Governor Brian Kemp scheduled a special election for March 10, 2026 to fill the seat. If no candidate clears 50 percent, a runoff follows on April 7.
The race to find a Marjorie Taylor Greene replacement has become a test of competing forces inside the Republican Party: Trump's endorsement machine versus grassroots populist energy versus — improbably — a well-funded Democrat trying to compete in the most Republican district in Georgia.
Twenty-one candidates are on the ballot: 16 Republicans, 3 Democrats, 1 Libertarian, and 1 Independent. But the money and momentum have consolidated around three names.
The Georgia 14th District Candidates and Their War Chests
Clay Fuller (R): Trump's Pick, Self-Funded
Fuller, the District Attorney of the Lookout Mountain Judicial Circuit, secured Trump's endorsement in early February via Truth Social. Trump called him "strongly supported by the most Highly Respected MAGA Warriors in Georgia."
His FEC filings tell an interesting story:
| Metric | Amount |
|---|---|
| Individual Contributions | $50,126 |
| Self-Loans | $200,000 |
| Cash on Hand | ~$235,505 |
| Party/PAC Contributions | $0 |
Fuller has loaned his own campaign $200,000 — dwarfing what he's raised from donors. He has received zero dollars from party committees or PACs in his direct filings. The self-loan signals personal wealth and a bet that Trump's endorsement will unlock outside spending from pro-Trump Super PACs, which would show up on the FEC's independent expenditures page rather than in his candidate filings.
The risk: Voters at local forums told the Georgia Recorder they backed Fuller primarily because of Trump — not because they knew him personally. His fundraising base is thin, and his candidacy depends heavily on borrowed credibility.
Colton Moore (R): The Grassroots Machine
Moore, a former Georgia State Senator who resigned his seat to run, is the populist firebrand in the field — the candidate most stylistically similar to Greene. He was expelled from the Republican caucus in the state Senate for his combative tactics.
His FEC filings show a different funding model:
| Metric | Amount |
|---|---|
| Individual Contributions | $105,485 |
| Self-Loans | $0 |
| Cash on Hand | ~$100,514 |
| Party/PAC Contributions | $0 |
Moore's funding is 100 percent individual contributions — no party money, no PAC money, no self-funding. Prominent investor Peter Schiff publicly announced a donation to Moore's campaign on X. His low disbursement figure ($4,970) suggests he is stockpiling cash for a final push or runoff scenario.
Moore has won straw polls at GOP forums — taking 85 votes to Fuller's 37 and Tully's 27 at one event — and won a Cobb County GOP straw poll as well. He called Trump's endorsement of Fuller "unfortunate" but still praised Trump as "the greatest president of our lifetimes."
Shawn Harris (D): The National Money Magnet
Here's the twist no one expected: the best-funded candidate among the Georgia 14th Congressional District candidates is a Democrat.
Retired Army Brigadier General Shawn Harris built a national fundraising operation during his 2024 challenge to Greene and carried it into this race. According to AllOnGeorgia, Harris raised $768,939 in the Third Quarter of 2024 alone, with an average donation of just $19.57 from over 38,000 donors nationwide.
That small-dollar grassroots machine makes him the fundraising leader — but it's also his vulnerability. Republicans will hammer the fact that his money comes overwhelmingly from out-of-state donors, not northwest Georgia voters. In a district Trump carried by roughly 30 points, Harris's realistic ceiling remains low regardless of his cash advantage.
The GA-14 Special Election: What the Numbers Say
There is no traditional scientific polling available for this race — common for special elections in safe districts. But prediction markets and straw polls offer clues about where things stand.
On Kalshi and Polymarket, Fuller is the betting favorite to win outright. On Coinbase's prediction market, bettors appear skeptical that any candidate clears the 50 percent threshold — making a runoff the likeliest outcome. Kalshi's party market overwhelmingly favors Republicans to hold the seat.
Why This District Is Built for Republicans
The demographics of GA-14 explain why Democrats face near-impossible math here, regardless of fundraising:
- 70.2 percent white, with a median household income of ~$71,533 — a working-class, culturally conservative electorate
- 73.2 percent homeownership — well above the national average, signaling a settled, older voter base
- 45,300 veterans among the adult population, per Census data
- Located in the Bible Belt, with high rates of evangelical church membership
Greene won this seat with 75 percent in 2020, 66 percent in 2022, and 64 percent in 2024. The slight decline reflects the addition of a slice of Cobb County during redistricting — a more suburban, slightly more moderate pocket — but the district remains deep red.
Special election turnout tends to run well below general election levels, which favors candidates with passionate, motivated bases and strong organizational infrastructure. That dynamic benefits both Fuller (via Trump's endorsement driving turnout) and Moore (via his grassroots following).
The Lobbying Gap
One notable absence in this race: institutional money. According to FEC filings, none of the top three candidates have received party committee or PAC contributions in their direct campaign filings. The race is being funded almost entirely by individual donors and self-funding on the Republican side, and by small-dollar national donors on the Democratic side.
Organizations like Heritage Action for America lobbied on Greene's immigration and election integrity legislation during her tenure, and the National Association of Realtors lobbied on her housing-related bills. But direct organizational contributions to Greene's campaign — or to her potential successors — do not appear in the available FEC data for this cycle.
An estimated $6.28 million has been spent on this seat over the past two years when accounting for outside spending, according to QuiverQuant's tracker. Where the next wave of outside money flows — particularly from pro-Trump PACs — could determine whether Fuller consolidates the field or Moore forces a runoff.
The Bottom Line
The most likely outcome is a runoff between Clay Fuller and Colton Moore on April 7. Fuller has Trump's endorsement and more cash on hand. Moore has stronger grassroots energy and higher name recognition. Harris has the most money but the wrong district.
The real question this race answers: In a post-Greene district, does Trump's word settle the matter — or does the populist base that elected Greene in the first place pick its own champion?
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